"Virginia, perhaps more than any other state, reflects the national mood after a presidential year. The state's governor is limited to a single four-year term, so the race always follows a presidential election year.
“Virginia is an early warning system and a testing ground for what we're going to see play out in the next midterms,” said Jesse Ferguson, a former top aide on Hillary Clinton's campaign. For Democrats, holding onto the governor's mansion after a Trump win is a crucial part of their national strategy to try to take back control of state legislatures and even Congress.
And yet, despite Trump's historic unpopularity and Republicans' struggles to repeal Obamacare, Democrats are slipping in this race. Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam (D) has had a steady lead in the polls since he won his primary, but his once-double-digit lead over Ed Gillespie (R) narrowed to an almost imperceptible one as Election Day neared."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/11/07/why-virginia-democrats-have-so-much-on-the-line-in-todays-governors-election/?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-low_fix-elex-10a%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.10f2ec3ad1b5
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